The times have changed: The fall of the Eurocentric world. Since 2018, there have been signs of my showing some interest in the world of finance and geopolitics. I am not an expert, and I don't want to be an expert, because I often feel experts are too egoistic to learn. I want to be a learner and pass it on to my friends and family. Does that mean I might change my perspectives? Of course, yes, the ones who reject reality often lose in the end. As I was learning(and I still do), I kept changing my views about the world of finance and geopolitics. Earlier, I thought they were very different, but now I am convinced that they are very correlated. Why? For human civilisation, material prosperity has always been a driver. Now, when this "drive to thrive" enters a macroeconomic environment, we get the patterns of economic-geopolitical events. Think about it, after World War 2, we have seen an America dominating the world of finance, which resulted in its dominance in global po...
Pic is bad, click here to view the same Forget the meaning of the graph for a moment, see the historic trend. I didn't know until I saw a few YouTube videos. It is not difficult, believe me. Yesterday, Job numbers from Uncle Sam came in, October 2025 the worst month in 20 years, worse than 2008, and a few days ago, companies (consumer-focused) came up with earnings. You will see all the companies performing poorly, citing weak consumer demand, and the household debt of Sam has reached at an all-time high. A controversy I want to suggest: the current jobs data is coming from surveys done by independent entities, and the official data is still not there because of the shutdown. Maybe the shutdown is something that everybody wants so that when it lifts, everyone is surprised (probably in a bad way). How can markets be unaffected by a country's government shutdown, when the government spending is about 36% of the GDP? In the 2000s, NASDAQ (a tech stock index of the US) had crashe...